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Apple Stock Forecast: AAPL May Be Headed Towards Another Record Quarter

Apple Stock Forecast: High Demand For XS Max, XR On The Way

(By Rhaym tech Via Wikimedia Commons)

With the release of the new iPhone XS and the more popular XS Max, Apple may be on the verge of it’s highest grossing iPhone release yet. Not to mention being days away from the release of the highly anticipated, and more affordable iPhone XR. In a recent survey by Piper Jaffray, from 700 domestic Apple iPhone owners, 39% would upgrade to the iPhone XS or XS Max if they were to upgrade this year with just about a split between the two models. The remaining 61% would choose the upcoming iPhone XR or existing iPhone 7 or 8.

Given that “older” apple products seem to not really survive that long. Wether that is by Apple’s own controversial, yet somehow forgivable doing, or people’s desire to have the next best thing, people are buying the newest phones. The in-house built A12 Bionic chip powered phone will cost the customer upwards 1000$, not to mention the increased warranties. People are now willing to pay top dollar for something that is highly utilized on a daily basis, and the reflection of the premium quality cellular phones will be seen in their sales. I believe that Apple’s business strategies are far more complex and exceed that which meet’s the eye. The release of the iPhone XR, which is a more affordable alternative to the only slightly more premium model, at still a fairly large price point, will surely become the most popular among the larger scale of consumer.  This could very well be their most profitable model to date.

Don’t Just “Watch” This Stock

The Series 4 Apple Watch has been seeing success across the board as well. It has been receiving notable reviews by consumers. The new Apple Watch Nike+ devices is the next release in the Series 4 family. It includes a larger screen, thinner body, an ECG reader, fall detection, and more. It will also launch worldwide.

Most of the time Apple stock falls after earnings. A lot of people with inflated expectations decide to sell after earnings. Instead, Apple tends to rise during the long periods between earnings reports. In 8 out of the last 10 iPhone releases, AAPL slid immediately after the release and didn’t return to pre-release levels for about 60 days. Currently, they’re hitting all time highs two weeks after the release. Last earnings report, on 07/31/18, sent AAPL into an immediate uptick. The likes of 3% in a single day. Apple is set to release it’s Q4 earnings on November the 1st.

I Know First’s predictive algorithm remains bullish on AAPL stock in the long term.

To learn more about I Know First’s success and accuracy, click here to read our premium article about Warren Buffet’s long investment and how our algorithm successfully predicted and forecasted Apple’s record breaking year, before it happened.

The Newest Apple iPhone XS Revealed In September Summit

Apple’s September Summit Take-Aways

Last week, Apple kicked off their annual September event. Their main unveilings included the new Apple Watch 4 and the iPhone XS/XS Max. The XS saw it’s release on Friday, with the larger XS Max set to release in the coming week. As usual, the iPhone has upgrades to the previous iPhone X, which investors can be happy about because it’s another display of Apple’s way of incrementally and almost minimally upgrading a phone and gathering big sales in the process. Though it’s fair to say they are still delivering a premium product that can be called the best.

  (By Mike Deerkoski – Flickr)

The new Apple in-house built A12 bionic chip is giving competitors a run for their money. As expected, multi-core performance isn’t a vast difference over the A11 Bionic from the 2017 iPhone X, but single core performance see’s a noticeable improvement.

Upcoming For Apple

It should also be noted that the more affordable iPhone XR will be released in October. The Apple Watch 4’s release, which will receive more attention in the next article, will surely shake up sales as well. With these three new products, effects on stock should be noticeable in the coming weeks or month (especially during the holiday season and days like mothers/fathers day).

A few other advancements on Apple’s side that may effect sales are the new higher price of insurance/theft protection going up to $299 for a $100 increase. The removal of the headphone jack from the new iPhone may also lead to a boost in sales of Beats, AirPods and other bluetooth audio devices. Lastly, the battery price will increase after it was lowered for the year of 2018. Some people were left a bit disappointed following the summit, but I think this is Apple knows exactly what they are doing. With more to come this year including the highly anticipated new iPad and improved AirPods, the only way to go is up.

No Competition

In comparison to Android’s current flagships, it’s a clean sweep for the A12 all around. In tests run by Geekbench 4, 3D Mark, Slingshot Extreme and GFX Bench, the new chip powering the XS and XS Max destroys all the competition, with second place coming in to none other than their own iPhone X. The Bionic A12 proves to be the real deal. The A12 is generations ahead of others, but soon enough they will be releasing 7 nanometer chips of their own. QualComm claims to have a 7nm release coming soon.

As I mentioned earlier, the $3 billion company has not reached anything close to a ceiling and is still on the rise. It is worth another mention that Apple has mastered the art of business. They make great product, and at the same time truly know how to implement the right amount of upgrade in bits and pull in big sales throughout the year in the process.

(Pixabay)

I Know First is certainly bullish on AAPL stock, as detailed in this article published on May 1st

APPL stock is with 43% return since this bullish forecast.

Source: Yahoo Finance

Beats, NBA Audio Partnership Has A Nice Sound

Beats To Become Official Audio Partner Of NBA

By Original: Matthew Raymundo (Public Domain via WikiMedia Commons)

 

“This partnership with the NBA is the perfect alignment for Beats. It feels like coming home.” -Luke Wood, President of Beats By Dr. Dre

Tip Off

In my previous article, I wrote about Apple’s position and advancements in the sports realm. Included was, how a deal with the NBA would be the most fitting of any other sport. As well as, besides the deals to distribute iPads to the MLB and NHL sidelines, that Apple’s biggest strength in sports comes from the athletes being seen wearing their headphones. Several days later, it was announced that Beats would become the official headphone, home speaker, and audio partner of the National Basketball Association. This is a partnership of 2 brands that evolved into forces which emanate style and influence culture.

Adam Silver, who took the position of the NBA’s commissioner in 2014, has been helpful to the advancement of the league. He has been known to be very open-minded and innovative as to the potential growth of the NBA as a game, as well as a brand. Adam Silver stated that “Beats revolutionized the music industry and has become one of the most innovative and culturally influential brands in the world. Through our partnership, we have an exciting opportunity to merge sports, pop culture and technology to deliver unparalleled experiences and premium products to our fans.” Now, the NBA will become another source of water for Beats and Apple’s popularity to grow even more.

Fans have been seeing their favorite superstars wearing these products on their own accord. Without a doubt, this partnership will lead to only more success for Apple’s audio brand. This also means marketing on one of the biggest stages and platforms in the world, the National Basketball Association. With their viewership at a 4-year high, it is a big opportunity for Beats to expand the wildly popular brand even more.

The Superstars Align

Lebron James, like many other players athletes, has been a long time supporter of the product. James starred in a television advertisement, shortly after the deal was announced. Most of the time players on the other hand are not being paid to wear the headphones. This Apple product is cemented as the favorite of athletes, all around the world. Notably, this trend is gaining heavy popularity in the European soccer world, which is a global force of its own. The second most popular accessory being worn by the players is none other than Apple’s own AirPods.

Beats signed an extensive roster of some of the leagues very best to their own team. This includes the likes of Lebron James, Draymond Green and last years MVP, James Harden. It also has signed several very young players who show boundless potential, the likes of Ben Simmons, Jason Tatum, and Karl Anthony-Towns. This points to the fact, this relationship will be a lasting one. “I always want to be the best and work with the best. That’s why I joined the Beats fam. They have the best headphones and they made them a style icon when no one else thought of electronics that way.” said MVP and 6-time All-Star, James Harden.

Beats’ comprehensive merchandising and marketing deal has more to it. Besides replacing Harman as the NBA’s official sound partner, they will establish separate deals with each NBA team. This means all types of custom audio equipment with each of the 30 different NBA team logos on them, on a global scale. This will reach even more users, including loyal and passionate fans. As we know when a fan loves his team, he will let you know it. Be that a jersey, hat or now a headphone, and a superior one at that.

Beats History

Beats by Dr. Dre (Beats), the headphones created by the highly acclaimed and successful artist and producer Dr. Dre, along with the famed Co-Founder of Interscope Records, Jimmy Iovine. The purpose of the headphone was to give the user the experience of having studio quality sound on the street or in their home. In 2014, Apple acquired Beats for an astounding $3 Billion. They quickly grew to be very popular, and have became an integrated part of music culture worldwide.

By Original: Hoyers (public domain) via Wikipedia Commons

Final Score

This partnership is a good sign to take into consideration that the company that hit a $3 billion valuation has not hit it’s ceiling. With developments such as this deal, the release of the new iPhone Xr (with the new in-house built A12 chip), the upcoming iPad (with the very popular Adobe Photoshop) and more, Apple’s (AAPL) stock is on the rise. The new iPhone chip integrates AI technology into the phone to give it a better understanding of it’s surroundings. The new iPhone also rids itself of the headphone jack. This could mean a boost of sales for none other than Beats, as well as other wireless Apple audio products.

By Original:  Rob Janoff [Public domain], via Wikimedia Commons

This deal is a perfect match, that promises to elevate both sides. This a merging of two global forces, which stand for expression, style, and the will to improve. Apple now in the matter of a year, has closed deals with the NBA, MLB, and NHL. I Know First’s algorithm forecasts another bullish year for AAPL stock, as it has successfully done in previous years. The Beats/NBA partnership will kick off in October, which is when the 2018-2019 NBA season will begin. Once again, unlike the game being played, this deal leaves with two winners.

The Apple Doesn’t Fall Far From The Field

 Apple’s position in sports & forecasted stock rise

  •  Where Apple’s real strength is as a brand in sports
  • Apple bringing their iPads into the arenas
  • Adobe’s Photoshop to be available on next iPad and what that means for AAPL stock
  • I Know First predicts another bullish year for Apple stock as it successfully did the previous year

Apple has become a brand that unlike competitors, is more than just the technology you are buying, but a feeling, a vibrancy. Today, If you are out for a run or a walk, chances are you are measuring your heart rate and distance on an apple device. Simultaneously, your favorite song is playing to give you a little extra motivation, from that very same device. This is coming from the company that used to be nothing more than a computer, and can now be utilized for almost any aspect of everyday life. The tree called Apple continues to grow and shows no signs of slowing down in it’s relentless evolution. Their next branch to sprout if it hasn’t already, may very well be a solidified position in the professional sports realm.

The first thing to be aware of, is understanding how powerful of a platform the professional sports world really is. At the core, viewers consist of a passionate, loyal fanbase that tune in almost every night. To get an idea, the average viewership of the finals of the 4 major sports in the US, which are football, basketball, baseball and hockey comes out to an astounding 40 million viewers. Now that the Supreme Court just granted states the permission to once again legalize gambling on sports matches, you can expect that number to rise just like the blood pressure of a die-hard fan or gambler during a close game. What happens now is the average person who normally wouldn’t care to watch a game at 8:00 on a Tuesday night when is favorite show is on, might be watching in hopes of getting a return on his bet.

What’s The Use?

Microsoft has been successful with bringing their tablet to the sideline of every NFL game. Today in the National Football League, you will constantly see players on the sidelines with these tablets in their hands, and the game they are playing is a little bigger than crushing candy. What they do is analyze the game through watching replays. How to improve in the game, on the spot. In the past they would be doing this only after the game was over or at halftime. That being on a big projector which only helped them when it may have been too late. This as opposed to seeing and breaking down the opponents game plan as well as their own shortcomings that can be improved, on the spot.

Apple’s first step into arenas came with the National Hockey League. Yes, it’s Apple on ice. Apple has their iPad and Mac in the hand of every coach to help improve in-game efficiency, similar to how NFL has utilized them. So the NHL was next in bringing these modernized coaching technique’s to the game, with Apple supplying the goods. Contrary to the games being played, this partnership leaves us with 2 winners.

It’s A Hit

Apple’s next move was bringing it’s iPad into every dugout in Major League Baseball. Being that the MLB has a way larger fan base that the previous inked deal, this one proves to be more lucrative. Besides for the players and coaches to increase efficiency, there is something for the fans as well. The At Bat app allows through AR (Augmented Reality) technology, fans to utilize their Apple device in game. They simply hold their device up to the player at bat to see all kinds of interesting stats. Statistics such as how hard their favorite player just hit the ball, or how fast he ran. This would be the first sighting of AR technology being instituted into a major sport. For a sport like baseball, I imagine a child seeing their favorite player with this Apple product in their hand makes a statement.

 

As for the NBA, I believe a deal with apple would have been very fitting. Similar to the NBA, Apple epitomizes style, swagger and influence. This is right in line with what the creator of Apple himself, Steve Jobs, envisioned and strived for the products to be. Although, in the realm of the National Basketball Association, Apple did recently ink a television deal with one of the NBA’s biggest stars in Kevin Durant. This is the company that made similar deals with the likes of Steven Spielberg and Jennifer Anniston. They signed the baller to be part of a new drama series that subsequently is called “Swagger”.

Apple also banked in on the World Cup craze, implementing all types of features on their devices through Siri. Fans got easy access and full information to things such as scores, schedules, rosters and all other types of information.

The Real Deal

Apple’s partnership with the sports world may be stronger than inking any official deals.. Some of the biggest marketers for Apple in sports, are the players themselves. These highly influential superstars are photographed as they walk in and out of stadiums. As they do so, a majority of these superstars are using none other than Apple products. Primarily Beats headphones or AirPods. Apple acquired Beats for 3 Billion in 2014. This applies to every sport. (Not including the NFL in which the players are banned to wear them being that Microsoft has a deal with the NFL.) This was especially the case in the biggest sports event on the planet, this years World Cup.  On the court and field, the athletes warming up for a contest are also usually always using Apple headphones to get in the zone before a game.

 

 

Lets not forget, this is a company that could reportedly buy every single professional sports team if it wanted to. Partnerships with leagues may no doubt be lucrative and necessary, but the place they strive most in the sports world is by the individual athletes themselves. The heroes of so many, wearing their product, on and off the field/court.  Apple has established themselves as THE brand. In an expected fashion, they continuously adapt, and innovate to make life for the user, and of course the company, better.

 

 

How Can I Win?

The company that just hit a one trillion dollar evaluation is only going up. I Know First’s predictive algorithm forecasts another strong year for AAPL stock. The bullish prediction comes in line subsequently with the very thing that Apple is putting in players and coaches hands, the iPad. The iPad business produces $4.74 billion a quarter for Apple. With Adobe working on producing a full version of Photoshop for the iPad/iPad Pro next year, sales will rise. Adobe’s Creative Cloud, is bringing in record highs in for its revenue through subscribers who want access to Photoshop. This will now be available on the upcoming iPad. To give you an idea, this application is producing half of Adobe’s current total revenue. Apple will pocket 30% from each $9.99/month Photoshop subscription.

 

 

The new iPad won’t only become an asset to creative professionals (90% of which use Photoshop) but to professionals everywhere. With updates to its multicore CPU (as it has continued to do), it becomes a tool useful for anybody. It is important to note that besides when a new Apple product comes out, people want it and they get it.

 

I Know First’s Forecast For AAPL Stock

There is information on the bottom of the page to explain this graph further

 

I Know First’s Previous Apple Stock Forecast To Its Subscribers

One of our senior analyst wrote one year ago of this bullish signal of 131.7 and a predictability rating of 0.61. It turned out that in the conclusion of that year, Apple Inc. valuation reached a record $1 Trillion. Needless to say, subscribers were happy with this forecast.

Future and current forecasts and picks can be found here

 

I Know First Algorithm Heatmap Explanation

The sign of the signal tells what direction the asset price is expected to go. (Positive = to go up = Long, negative = to drop = Short position). The signal strength is related to the magnitude of the expected return. Used for ranking purposes for the investment opportunities.

Predictability is the actual fitness function being optimized every day. It can be explained as the correlation based measure of the signal. This is a unique indicator of the I Know First algorithm. This allows users to separate and focus on the most predictable assets according to the algorithm. Ranging between -1 and 1, one should focus on predictability levels significantly above 0 in order to fill confident about/trust the signal.

 

 

 

Apple ‘Thinks Differently’ to Lower Property Taxes

Apple ‘Thinks Differently’ to Lower Property Taxes

“Creativity is just connecting things”

-Steve Jobs

(Source: Wikimedia)

You don’t get to be a trillion dollar company by playing completely by the rules. Just as Steve Jobs wanted to “think differently”, it appears as if Apple’s accountants are following suit. Apple has their Apple Park located in Santa Clara County and they believe they have paid their fair share of taxes.

Now, Apple is making the bold claim that a “cluster of properties” they own is worth only $200. Here’s the thing, Santa Clara County’s tax assessor valued the properties at a whopping $1 billion. According to the assessor’s offices, Apple currently has 489 open cases to dispute in a total property value of $8.5 billion. Currently, the company is paying $56 million in taxes, a number they feel unfair.

This isn’t the first time that Apple got creative with taxes. Last year, the company was forced to pay $15.4 billion of taxes back to Ireland after they utilized tax loopholes. In 2014, Apple was just paying a mere 0.005% of sales to taxes, an issue the EU Commission had a problem with.

Apple’s stock has been up this past week as trade tension with China is believed to be coming to an end.

I Know First Algorithm is still bullish for AAPL.

Does the Galaxy Note 9 Really Hold a Candle to the iPhone X?

“If you don’t have a competitive advantage, don’t compete”

-Jack Welch

(Source: Samsung)

Last week, Samsung, Apple’s biggest competitor, unveiled the brand new Galaxy Note 9. Coming in at the same price as the iPhone, the Note 9 looks to snatch Apple sales.

But what does the Note 9 have in store? Firstly, the screen difference is massive. The Note has a 6.4 inch screen screen, which, when compared to the iPhone X’s 5.8 inch screen, is incomprehensible.

(Source: Samsung)

Remember the times of the Galaxy Note’s battery exploding? Well, hopefully those days are over as the Apple competitor adds a 4,000mAh battery, compared to the iPhone X’s 2,716mAh battery.

With all this brand new information about the Note, 9to5Mac decided to put the phones to the test and decide which one was more powerful. What they found was phenomenal for Apple: the iPhone X was able to outperform the Galaxy Note 9 in overall performance, which has a Geekbench 4 testing of 8,876, compared to the iPhones 10,357.  Not only that, but the iPhone won the graphics test. The only testing that the Galaxy Note 9 won was the display testing.

With the current gen iPhone X beating the Galaxy Note 9 in so many aspects, it’s safe to say that when the new iPhones launch this fall, there should be no competition.

AAPL has been up this past week

(Source: Yahoo Finance)

I Know First Algorithm is still bullish for AAPL.

Apple: The First Publicly Traded Trillion Dollar Company

“To put a trillion dollars in context, if you spend a million dollars every day since Jesus was born, you still wouldn’t have a spent a trillion”

-Mitch McConnell

(Source: Wikimedia)

On August 2nd, Apple became the first publicly traded company to hit $1 trillion in market cap. This came after Q3 earnings crushed expectations. Previously, the company only needed a share price of $203.45 to hit the historic milestone. However, after the company announced $100 billion worth of share buybacks, the price needed to hit was $207.05, which was met.

So why was Q3 so great? Well, there were many factors which contributed to Apple becoming a trillion dollar company. For starters, expected EPS was $2.18 and Apple achieved $2.34. The company was also expected to have revenue of $52.34 billion, which they truly had $53.3 billion. Finally, although iPhone sales didn’t grow as expected, many of their products did, including wearables, which grew more than 60%.

Apple stated that fourth quarter revenue will be between $60 billion to $62 billion. This is beating previous expectations of $59.47 billion. However, with more than $9.55 billion in revenue coming from China, upcoming tariffs could take a toll on stock price.

As noted, AAPL has been up this past week.

 

Apple Receives Patent For AirPower

“Changes call for innovation, and innovation leads to progress”

-Li Keqiang


(Source: MacWorld)

One of the biggest gripes with owning any wireless device is having to charge it. Owning a couple of Apple devices could really be gruesome; having to carry around a separate charger for your Apple Watch, AirPods, and iPhone while only being able to charge one at a time is aggravating. However, the days of that are over with the upcoming AirPower.

Announced at WWDC, AirPower is a wireless charging pad that can charge several of your devices at once. However, iPhones before the iPhone 8 and iPhone X do not have the wireless charging capability. All you have to do is simply place your devices on the pad and they will charge simultaneously.

(Source: MacWorld)

This week, Apple has received a grant for the design patent for AirPower in Hong Kong, China. Since the pad was previously delayed, hopefully this means that the charging station will be released soon. This will be a huge seller for Apple and will allow them to continue to expand their wireless charging devices.

(Source: Yahoo Finance)

I Know First Currently has a bullish one year forecast for AAPL. With a predictability of 0.81 and a signal of 150.20, the company projects a hike in price. 

This bullish forecast for AAPL was sent to the current I Know First subscribers on June 25, 2018.

To subscribe today click here.

“Throttle Gate” Comes to Fruition Following New MacBook Pros

“We can’t blame the technology when we make mistakes”

-Tim Berners-Lee

(Source: Apple)

On July 17th, YouTuber Dave Lee noticed that the 15 inch MacBook Pro was throttling performance. Dave noticed that the computer could not handle the i9 processor as the MacBook got too hot to handle it. In fact, the 2017 15 inch MacBook pro was rendering faster than the 2018. Although Apple has advertised 2.9GHz, the laptop is truly getting around 2.2GHz. The only way Dave could get better numbers for the brand new model was by putting the laptop in the freezer to cool the processor.

To confirm Dave Lee tests, AppleInsider did their own research. Unfortunately, they confirmed the YouTuber’s results; they found that the CPU was very volatile, even running at 2.02 GHz at one point. The numbers were almost the same as the 2017 MacBook Pro i7 processor was hitting.

The problem seems to be that the i9 processor was placed into the same chassis as last year’s model. So, the chassis does not have the ability to properly cool itself, since i9 generates mass amounts of heat. In order to prevent overheating, the laptop throttles the speed to prevent overheating. The former CEO of AMD, Patrick Moorhead, stated, “Processors like the Intel Core i9 are all manufactured with maximum power and heat limitations to maintain a specific frequency. OEMs, like Apple, create thermal solutions for their systems, in this case the MacBook Pro, to remove enough heat so the processor can run at its intended frequency. BIOS settings determine when the cooling kicks on, its intensity, and for how long.”

For now, it seems the best option would be to not purchase the new MacBook Pros till the problem is fixed.

AAPL was unaffected by the MacBook Pro problems.

On June 25th, I Know First algorithm issued a bullish forecast on AAPL

AAPL gained 5.09% since this forecast

This bullish forecast for AAPL was sent to the current I Know First subscribers on June 25th 2018.

To subscribe today click here.

2018 iPhone Aims To Disrupt Mobile Carriers

“Many people repeat the past. I’m not interested. I prefer evolution.”

-Issey Miyake

(Source: Flickr)

Throughout the history of the iPhone, there has been one thing that’s been by its sides this whole time: a SIM card. However, this may be disrupted soon as the grand debut of the eSim is coming. The eSim is a chip that is soldered to the phones circuit board, as opposed to a chip that’s inserted into the phone.

Apple wants this for a couple reason. For one, they have been trying to get rid of all ports on the iPhone to make it completely waterproof (remember the headphone jack?). However, the main reason is that it would allow users to switch carriers over the air at any time. Users would no longer have to get a new SIM card by mail or in person, increasing efficiency. Let’s say you are receiving poor service in a location. You have the ability to switch carriers on the whim without going to get a new SIM card.

(Source: DazeInfo)

Although this is a huge benefit for the users of the phone, it demonstrates a huge disadvantage for all mobile carriers. Being that users can switch carriers at any time, companies such as AT&T should be scared they’re going to lose business. This move would strengthen Apple’s customer relationships as they are more attached to the phone and less so the carrier.

Apple has already started implementing the use of this technology in their Apple Watch 3. The company uses eSIMs from STMicroelectronics for that model and are expected to continue to use them for the upcoming iPhone.

On April 3rd I Know First algorithm issued a bullish forecast on AAPL

AAPL gained 22.5% since this forecast

This bullish forecast for AAPL was sent to the current I Know First subscribers on April 3, 2018.

To subscribe today click here.

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